FRESH TABLE GRAPES
World table grape production is forecast to increase slightly to 21.0 million tons as continued growth in China is mostly offset by declines in Turkey and Chile. Global trade is forecast to contract slightly as lower exports by Chile, Turkey, and the United States only partly offset China’s record exports.
China’s production is projected to surge 800,000 tons to 9.6 million on higher area and favorable growing conditions. Exports are forecast to jump 76 percent, up 97,000 tons to a record 224,000 on higher shipments to Thailand and Vietnam. Imports are forecast down slightly to 217,000 tons on lower shipments from the United States and Peru.
Turkey’s production is forecast to drop 345,000 tons to 2.0 million due to a spring frost in the main growing region in western Turkey. Exports are projected to fall 82,000 tons to 175,000 on lower shipments to the EU as well as top market Russia, where a ban on certain Turkish imports went into effect January 1, 2016.
EU’s production is forecast to rise a modest 49,000 tons to 1.7 million on higher output in Spain. Exports are projected to slip 14,000 tons to 87,000 as alternative markets fail to replace lost market share in Russia, where the ban on EU grapes continues. Imports are projected to slip 18,000 tons to 585,000.
United States’ production is forecast to rise slightly to 984,000 tons despite drought concerns in top producing state California. Final trade data show exports are down 60,000 tons to 329,000 driven by lower shipments to top markets. Imports slipped 17,000 tons to 530,000 on lower available product from Chile. Steady production coupled with lower exports is expected to boost consumption to a record 1.2 million tons.
Peru’s production is expected to expand slightly to 510,000 tons as new plantings continue to reach maturity. Exports are down slightly to 295,000 tons on competition from Chile in key markets China and Hong Kong.
Chile’s production and exports are forecast down nearly 100,000 tons to 840,000 and 660,000, respectively, reflecting the continued impact from last year’s March flood and July snow.
Russia’s production forecast is lowered to 90,000 tons due to losses in both commercial and household vineyards. Imports are projected to decrease 51,000 tons to 250,000 driven by falling consumer purchasing power, declining consumption, and the inability to replace banned grapes from the EU and Turkey.
Argentina’s production is forecast to fall by half to 60,000 tons due largely to table grapes being processed into raisins. After last year’s modest rebound, exports are forecast to decline again, dropping 9,000 tons to a lackluster 11,000.
Argentina’s production is forecast to fall by half to 60,000 tons due largely to table grapes being processed into raisins. After last year’s modest rebound, exports are forecast to decline again, dropping 9,000 tons to a lackluster 11,000.
For additional information, please contact Elaine Protzman at 202-720-5588, or elaine.protzman@fas.usda.gov
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For FAS Reports and Databases: Current World Market and Trade Reports: http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdDataPublications.aspx and click on Deciduous Fruit. For archives World Market and Trade Reports: http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/MannUsda/viewDocumentInfo.do?documentID=1776
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For Global Agricultural Trade System (U.S. Exports and Imports):
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